come_to_think: (Default)
In order to destroy a democracy from within, it seems, you need to be

wicked,
smart,
deemed useful,
serious, and
lucky.

Hitler gets 5 stars.  Many respectable Germans who despised him nevertheless deemed him useful for combatting the red menace, and thought they could get rid of him if he became a nuisance; but he outsmarted them.  He needed luck too, of course, but that was provided by the waffling of his opponents, notably Hindenburg.

Huey Long had a spectacular piece of bad luck, which made the other four qualifications moot.  However, I don't think he was wicked enough, and I think FDR was smarter---and had no use for him.  The reason I don't think he was wicked enough is not any particular evidence, but the mere fact that he was an American.  Yes, I am an American exceptionalist (or, more exactly, an Anglophone exceptionalist---I am one of those who think of the Brits and the Canucks and the Ozzies as "not really foreigners").  There seem to be no world-class sons of bitches in this country.  Try to think of one (J. Edgar Hoover?), and then think of a comparable Eurasian (Lavrenti P. Beriya!).  There is no comparison.

Senator Joseph McCarthy was, I suppose, tolerably wicked & smart.  He was not serious, however.  He had no particular animosity toward Communists and in fact was elected with their help.  He had no lust for power, but only for attention; he was an expert headline-grabber.  He had the luck to light on antiCommunism as a means, at a time when the government was following Sen. Vandenberg's advice to "scare hell out of the American people" in gearing up for the Cold War, and when the liberal opposition was partially demoralized by the rebound from its romance with the USSR.  More respectable people, including many who found him embarrassing, found him useful for that purpose and thought they could get rid of him when he had served it.  Unlike the Germans who thought the same of Hitler, they were right.  They gave him enough rope.  Eventually he attacked people who could hit back---the army, the Protestant clergy, Harvard, etc.; after the resulting harumphs, he dried up & blew away.

And now we have Mr Trump.  By American standards, he is pretty vile, tho admittedly in a very American way.  I bring you the news that people who use "loser" as a term of abuse are morally depraved.  They think life is a game in which they know the rules and are entitled to keep score.  They can't imagine that losers might be more honorable than winners, or even that time & chance happeneth to them all.

He is stupid.

He is deemed useful by many Republicans (tho not quite so many as before) in that his antics distract the public from their depredations.

He is not serious.  He is an attention addict like McCarthy.

And he came into a lot of money.

It probably won't happen here.
come_to_think: (Default)
The goddamn election

I have not changed my mind in the past four years (https://come-to-think.dreamwidth.org/40384.html). However, I have learned one more thing about Mr Trump: He is not merely a "goddamn realestatenik", but also a "goddamn movie star"---at any rate, he presided over a reality TV show, whatever that may be (I have looked it up several times but never understood it properly). He therefore came before me double-damned.

The stimulus check with his name on it stimulated me to donate an equal sum to the Democratic National Committee. I was tempted to endorse the check itself & send it in the mail, in the hope that the endorsement might annoy someone; but it might have gotten lost that way, so I used the Web.
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I am extremely skeptical of the notion that the individual whose ass occupies the president's chair makes much of a difference.  There are probably exceptions, and I am willing to consider evidence, but my null hypothesis is "no effect".  Political pressures overwhelmingly restrict what choices the president can make, and his sources of information & advice have their own politics, which limit even the president's power to know what he is doing.

I do think, tho, that what party is in power makes some difference, and what is more, that that difference is generally in favor of the Democrats.  As Stephen Gaskin observed in 1981,

I know that the difference between Democrats and Republicans is pretty slim.  But in Latin America, when they knew the Republicans were going to win, they started shooting Indians faster.    That's enough of a difference for me, for a start.

The Republicans, for most of my lifetime, have devoted far more of their energies than the Democrats to making mean people their constitutency.  Also, the right's market-worship is, for the time being, far more virulent than the left's state-worship.

So for me, in a Democratic primary, the main question is which candidate has the best chance of winning.  That, of course, is hard to tell at this stage.  It appears from polls that Sanders will make a better showing than Clinton against their likely opponent.  That is a surprise to me, but I gather than Clinton is widely hated, for reasons I have not bothered to find out.

Of course, the individuals have some symbolic significance, even to me.  I was sentimentally gratified that a black man could be elected president.  It showed that public opinion was a good deal less vile than it used to be.  In 2008 I baked a sweet-potato pie to celebrate.  Likewise, I  am sentimentally gratified that a woman --- or, on the other hand, a Jew who calls himself a socialist --- has a chance.

And, who knows, maybe the individual does matter in this case.  Hillary Clinton appears to have been bought, or at least paid for, by the financial industry, whose power I believe to be one of the greatest social evils in the recent world.  If she wins, she will owe Wall Street a lot, whereas Bernie Sanders feels free at least to make noises against it.  Good luck to him!

As to Trump, when he started getting whooped up, I said to myself:  It will be irritating to see my country impersonated by a goddamn realestatenik, but hell, a while ago it was impersonated by a goddamn movie star, and we survived.  And surely we cannot say that either of those slimy occupations is unAmerican, by a damn sight.  But I am afraid that by now I have to amend "irritating" to "sickening".  He already has a crack at being the worst American of the 21st century.

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